[quote name='WindsorBrokers' date='Jul 11 2013, 09:12 AM' post='2855710']
The Euro surged post Fed and maintained positive sentiment during the Asian session, as gains hit fresh high at 1.3205. Strong rally retraced over 61.8% of 1.3414/1.2754 downleg, with downside risk being sidelined and near-term focus shifted higher. Positive short-term technicals support further advance that would look for test of 1.3250 zone 21/06 high / 76.4% retracement, however, corrective pullback is expected to precede fresh rally, as studies on 1 and 4-hour charts are overextended. Dips would look for 1.3030, as initial support, 38.2% retracement of 1.2754/1.3205 upleg and 03/07 high, ahead of psychological 1.3000 support, where reversal should occur, to avoid revival of bears that would come in play on a break below 1.2980, 50% retracement level.
Res: 1.3146, 1.3205; 1.3260; 1.3300
Sup: 1.3067; 1.3030, 1.3000; 1.2980
Cable extended recovery rally from fresh low at 1.4812, posted on 09/07 and regained levels close to 1.5200, on late yesterday / overnight’s acceleration higher. Dollar-negative comments from Fed keep the freshly established positive sentiment in play, with near-term studies moving in the positive territory. Formation of cup and holder continuation pattern, seen on 4-hour chart, supports further advance, with completion of the pattern seen on a clear break above 1.5200 barrier. Further gains would look for test of pivotal 1.5280/1.5300 zone, 50% retracement of 1.5751/1.4812 descend and 03/07 lower top. Overbought conditions, however, signal corrective action, before bulls re-assert, with dips seen ideally contained above 1.5000, psychological support / 50% retracement of 1.4812/1.5192 upleg.
Res: 1.5170; 1.5200; 1.5280; 1.5303
Sup: 1.5078; 1.5047; 1.5000; 1.4957
Dollar/yen lost ground after pullback from 101.52 high, accelerated on a break below psychological 100 support. Overnight’s fresh weakness extended to 98.22 and marks over 38.2% retracement of 93.78/101.52 rally and looks for further decline, as 4-hour indicators slid into negative territory. Immediate target lies at 98.00, round-figure support, ahead of 97.65, 50% retracement and 97.00 higher platform of 21-25/06. From the other side, oversold hourly studies suggest that corrective rally should precede fresh leg lower, with 99.00/25 zone offering initial resistance and 100 yen barrier, also 50% of 101.52/98.22 downleg, reinforced by 55DMA, expected to cap.
Res: 99.00; 99.25; 99.48; 99.77
Sup: 98.22; 98.00; 97.65; 97.00
The pair maintains positive short-term tone, as fresh strength above 0.9200 congestion top, regained 0.9300 handle and looks for full retracement of 0.9343/0.9035 descend. Positive short-term technicals support the notion, with clearance of 0.9343, 26/06 high, required to confirm base at 0.9035 and open way for more significant recovery of larger bull-trend that commenced form 1.0581, 11/04 high. Initial support lies at 0.9230, yesterday’s high, with previous barrier, now support at 0.9200, expected to contain dips and keep the downside risk sidelined.
Res: 0.9304; 0.9324; 0.9343; 0.9400
Sup: 0.9230; 0.9200; 0.9172; 0.9125