The Euro holds neutral near-term tone, fluctuating within three-day range, with spikes above range tops showing lack of strength for more significant action higher and attempt at pivotal 1.3580/1.3600 barriers. Neutral hourlies and still weak 4-hour studies, see scope for prolonged sideways movements, with today’s ECB release expected to trigger stronger action. Break above strong 1.36 resistance zone, daily 20/100SMA’s bear-cross; daily Tenkan-sen line and mid-point of 1.3738/1.3475 fall, would spark stronger rally and mark near-term bottom. Fibonacci 61.8% retracement at 1.3638, offers next barrier, ahead of 1.3680 and 1.3700. On the downside, violation of range floor at 1.35 zone, to open 1.3475 base and signal resumption of bear-phase from 1.3892, 27 Dec peak. Negative daily studies support bearish scenario for now.
Res: 1.3538; 1.3554; 1.3572; 1.3600
Sup: 1.3492; 1.3475; 1.3457; 1.3435
Cable entered near-term consolidative phase, as the fourth wave off 1.6255 low, lacked strength for extension towards its ideal cap at 1.6400. Price action is congested between 1.6255 and 1.6343 range, with neutral hourly tone confirming sideways mode. However, prevailing negative tone on larger timeframes keeps the downside pressured and sees scope for resumption of larger bear-trend from 1.6668 peak, after completion of consolidative phase. Break below 1.6255 support to open 1.6215, daily cloud base and 1.6165, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 1.5853/1.6668 upleg. Only bounce through 1.64 hurdle, also Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.6623/1.6255 and 4-hour 55SMA, would delay immediate bears and open 1.6440, 50% retracement and 1.6480, 61.8% instead.
Res: 1.6343; 1.6400; 1.6440; 1.6480
Sup: 1.6255; 1.6236; 1.6215; 1.6165
The pair remains in near-term corrective phase off 100.74, with corrective rally being capped by previous low at 101.75, also 4-hour 20SMA. Lack of strength to break above 101.75 hurdle, keeps near-term price action in sideways mode. Hourly studies are in neutral mode, while 4-hour technicals remain weak that sees upside attempts limited and downside risk remaining in play. Violation of initial 101 support is expected to open hourly double-bottom at 100.74, loss of which to resume broader bears off 105.43 and expose psychological 100 support, reinforced by 50% retracement of 96.55/105.43 rally and 200SMA. Only break above psychological 102 barrier and 102.50, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement, would delay bears.
Res: 101.75; 102.00; 102.50; 102.92
Sup: 101.30; 101.00; 100.74; 100.42
The pair resumed bulls after ending near-term consolidative phase below 0.8940, with fresh extension higher, approaching next targets at 0.8983, Fibonacci 76.4% of 0.9084/0.8658 and 0.9000, 0.9000, psychological barrier / 03 Jan high. Positive near-term technicals keep the upside favored, with clearance of 0.9000 handle, expected to open way for full retracement of 0.9084/0.8658 descend. Regain of key 0.9084 resistance is required to confirm base and possibly spark stronger correction that would sideline overall bears, as daily studies show strong bullish momentum. Previous highs at 0.8940, offer initial support, ahead 0.8900, round figure / hourly 55SMA and 0.8870, higher low / daily Kijun-sen line, where dips should find solid support.
Res: 0.8983; 0.9000; 0.9056; 0.9084
Sup: 0.8940; 0.8900; 0.8870; 0.8830