The Euro Remains steady and continues to move above bull-trendline off 1.3482, after last week’s fall found ground on strong 1.3700/1.3690 support zone. Friday’s inside day candle suggests further upside, as fresh strength aims towards initial targets at 1.3756/61, 21/20 Feb highs, ahead of key near-term hurdle at 1.3772, 19 Feb high. Overnight’s consolidation above 1.37 handle and fresh extension higher, keeps near-term bulls in play, with technicals on lower timeframes maintaining positive tone. Break above 1.3772 to complete 1.3772/1.3685 corrective phase and open way towards 1.3800/30 and 1.3892, 27 Dec 2013 peak in extension, regain of which to complete larger corrective phase from 1.3892 to 1.3475. Initial support lies at 1.3727, ahead of 1.3700 and pivotal 1.3685 platform, loss of which would be bearish.
Res: 1.3756; 1.3761; 1.3772; 1.3800
Sup: 1.3727; 1.3700; 1.3685; 1.3661
Cable remains in near-term descend off fresh peak at 1.6821, approaching important 1.66 support, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.6250/1.6821 upleg, reinforced by 4-hour 55SMA and daily Tenkan-sen line. Loss of 1.66 handle is required to confirm reversal and trigger stronger pullback, which will put near-term bulls on hold and open 1.6536, 50% retracement of 1.6250/1.6821 and psychological 1.6500 support in extension. Hourly studies are weak, while 4-hour indicators are breaking into negative territory that supports negative scenario. Alternatively, ability to hold above 1.66 handle would keep the pair protected from immediate risk of further easing, with consolidative phase seen preceding fresh attempt higher, as daily bulls remain in play and 1.66 handle seen as ideal reversal point. Regain of near-term breakpoints at 1.6723/40, is required to bring bulls back in play.
Res: 1.6654; 1.6700; 1.6723; 1.6740
Sup: 1.6610; 1.6600; 1.6536; 1.6500
Near-term bulls lost traction after brief break above key 102.69/73 barrier, as the price stalled at 102.82 and subsequent pullback pressures psychological / Fibonacci 50% / daily Tenkan-sen line support at 102.00. With hourly indicators sliding into negative territory, downside risk will remain in play in the near-term. Loss of 102 handle is required to confirm. On the other side, 4-hour studies hold positive tone that sees the upside in focus while the price holds above 102 support and 101.77, bull-trendline off 100.74. Larger picture, however, is neutral, as studies are mixed and price action entrenched within 101.37/102.82 range, with break of either side to define direction.
Res: 102.45; 102.67; 102.82; 103.09
Sup: 102.15; 102.00; 101.77; 101.37
Near-term structure is negative, as the price’s recovery from 0.8935 failed to sustain gains above psychological 0.9000 barrier and subsequent easing fully reversed 0.8935/0.9021 rally. The downside is for now protected by daily cloud base, however, negatively aligned near-term studies would keep the downside at risk while the price remains capped under 0.9000, daily Tenkan-sen line and 0.9021, 20 Feb peak, break of which is required to bring fresh bulls in play and signal double-bottom formation. Otherwise, violation of strong 0.8930/00 support zone, would spark resumption of reversal from 0.9079, 18 Feb peak.
Res: 0.8986; 0.9000; 0.9021; 0.9043
Sup: 0.8935; 0.8926; 0.8900; 0.8870