FOREX NEWS: VOLUME BACK TO NORMAL. THE MARKET IS LIKELY TO REVEAL ITS REAL DIRECTION
EUR/USDForex News: The pair moved slowly yesterday, but had a higher range than expected, considering that many banks around the world were closed, celebrating Easter. No economic indicators were released but the US Dollar took the pair lower.
Technical OutlookWe saw an almost perfect bounce lower once price touched 1.3830 resistance and price started to head towards 1.3760 support. However, this movement cannot be considered a clear sign that bears try to take control of price direction and it’s rather just a behavior generated by low volume. Today’s price action will offer better hints about the next medium term direction and the main levels to watch remain 1.3830 and 1.3760.
Fundamental OutlookAll major banks will be open today so volatility is returning to normal but only one important economic indicator is released: The US Existing Home Sales. The indicator shows the annualized number of homes sold during the previous month and better figures usually have a positive impact on the US Dollar. The time of the release is 2:00 pm GMT and the expected number is 4.57M, while the previous was 4.60M.
GBP/USDSimilar to the EUR/USD, the Cable bounced off resistance yesterday but the movement was slow and the pair moved in a tight range.
Technical OutlookNow that Easter is behind us, we expect to see where the pair is really headed. The resistance located at 1.6820 rejected price as soon as it was touched and under normal circumstances we would anticipate a touch of 1.6750 or at least a clear move towards it. However, because the pair is in a long term uptrend, another move into 1.6820 or even above it is not out of the question.
Fundamental OutlookToday no economic data comes out of the United Kingdom and price action will be mostly influenced by technical factors and by the US release mentioned earlier.
