FOREX NEWS: TENSIONS IN UKRAINE. WEAKNESS SHOWN BY THE US DOLLAR
EUR/USDForex News: Friday was a difficult day for intraday traders as the US Non Farm Payrolls showed an improvement of the US jobs situation but the pair moved higher after an initial sharp drop. Some of this movement is attributed to heightened tensions and violence in Ukraine.
Technical OutlookThe pair printed a large pin bar on the support level at 1.3830 and this is indicative of a continued move upwards. The first resistance and target for the pair is 1.3900 but we must keep in mind that US employment is picking up and this may generate US Dollar strength which will be seen in the market once the Ukraine crisis calms down. If this is the case, 1.3830 will act again as support, followed by 1.3790 if a break occurs.
Fundamental OutlookThe Euro Group Meetings take place today, attended by Finance Ministers, The ECB President and other important personalities. Volatility will most likely be present until the meetings conclude so we recommend extra caution. At 2:00 pm GMT the US Non Manufacturing PMI will be released, with an estimated value of 54.3. This is a survey which shows the optimism of purchasing managers from the non-manufacturing sector and better than anticipated values can strengthen the US Dollar but the indicator usually has a lower impact than the Manufacturing PMI.
GBP/USDA lower value of the United Kingdom Construction PMI weakened the Pound early Friday morning and took the pair lower but after the US Non Farm Payrolls release, the pair sharply climber back up, nullifying an initial bearish impulse.
Technical OutlookThe pair barely touched the resistance located at 1.6820 and price immediately started to move north. This shows the underlying strength of the bulls and the fact that more upwards movement is likely to occur today. However, if the pair cannot climb quickly above 1.6880, we will probably see another touch of 1.6820 support.
Fundamental OutlookUnited Kingdom�s banks will be closed today, celebrating May Day and no economic or financial data will be released, but the Euro Group Meetings and the US Non Manufacturing PMI will have an impact on price action.
